Automated summary

This skill structures a top-down read of macroeconomic regimes (inflation, rates, growth, policy stance) and translates it into sector and valuation implications, with alternative scenarios and invalidation triggers.

Strengths

Enforces a fixed indicator set (inflation, policy and real rates, labor momentum, growth, credit conditions) so analyses stay comparable across runs.
Explicitly separates level from direction — high inflation versus falling inflation — a distinction often glossed over.
Requires stating an alternative regime and invalidation triggers, which guards against one-sided narratives.
Ties the macro diagnosis to valuation pressure or support instead of stopping at economic storytelling.
Ships a ready-to-reuse Markdown output template (snapshot, implications, invalidation).

Limitations

The skill fetches no data itself; it relies on external sources (FRED, BEA, BLS) or upstream skills for news and prices.
No quantitative modeling: no regressions, nowcasts, or numerically computed sensitivities.
The framework is geographically generic; you must name the country or region in the request to avoid vague conclusions.
Date and source traceability depends on the user's discipline rather than automated verification.

When to use it

Use it when you need macro framing before an investment conclusion, or to test how a portfolio or sector reacts to a change in regime.

When not to use it

Avoid it when the task is detailed company valuation, a numeric backtest, or precise market data the skill does not supply.

Security analysis

Safe

Quality score84/100

The skill is a purely analytical framework for interpreting macroeconomic regimes. It declares no tools, contains no executable commands, network calls, file operations, or data exfiltration instructions. There is no meaningful execution risk.

No concerns found

How this analysis is made

Examples

Current regime read

Give me a top-down macro regime assessment for the euro area: inflation is falling but policy rates are sticky. What does that mean for banks, utilities, and valuation multiples right now?

Recession scenario

Build a 12-month US recession-risk regime scenario. Use inflation, real rates, labor momentum and credit conditions, then list the sector tilts and the leading indicators that would invalidate the view.

Challenge an investment thesis

My thesis is that falling rates will re-rate growth equities next year. Stress-test it against the current macro regime and tell me what alternative regime would break the thesis.

name: analyzing-macro-regime description: Interprets macroeconomic regime shifts and links them to sector and valuation implications. Use when the user asks about inflation, rates, growth cycles, policy stance, or macro risk scenarios.

Analyzing Macro Regime

Name: Analyzing Macro Regime
Author: Skills Guide Bot

When to use this skill

When the user asks for top-down macro context.
When investment conclusions need rate/inflation/growth framing.
When scenario planning requires macro sensitivity.

Workflow

Plan

Define the regime question (inflationary slowdown, disinflationary growth, recession risk, etc.).
Select required indicators before analysis.

Validate

Confirm indicator timestamps and release windows.
Confirm geography and period consistency.

Execute

Build a compact regime view from indicators.
Translate regime into sector/asset implications.
List leading indicators that could invalidate the view.

Instructions

Use a fixed indicator set unless user scope says otherwise:
- Inflation trend
- Policy rate and real rate direction
- Labor market momentum
- Growth momentum
- Credit/financial conditions
Distinguish level vs direction (high inflation vs falling inflation).
Separate cyclical signals from structural narratives.
Tie macro view to valuation impact, not just story.

Regime checklist

[ ] Indicator dates and sources stated
[ ] Current regime hypothesis stated
[ ] Alternative regime stated
[ ] Portfolio or sector implications stated
[ ] Invalidation triggers stated

Output template

## Macro Regime Assessment

### Current Regime Hypothesis
- <regime label>
- Confidence: <High/Medium/Low>

### Indicator Snapshot
| Indicator | Latest | Direction | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|---|
| Inflation | ... | ... | ... |
| Policy Rate | ... | ... | ... |

### Investment Implications
- Sector tilt: <...>
- Valuation pressure/support: <...>

### Invalidation Triggers
- <trigger 1>

Error handling

If key macro data is stale, state staleness and reduce confidence.
If indicators conflict, present competing regime views.
If user asks for precision not supported by data, provide scenario ranges instead.

Resources

Official macro data sources (for example: FRED, BEA, BLS)
scanning-macro-news（上游技能：提供最新宏觀事件掃描，確保體制判斷基於即時資訊）
monitoring-geopolitical-risk（協同技能：地緣事件的傳導分析可作為體制判斷輸入）
collecting-market-data（協同技能：提供即時市場數據佐證體制方向）
stress-testing-portfolio（下游技能：將體制判斷轉化為組合壓力測試情境）

From the file to a first result

The download contains exactly the content displayed on this page. This copy may differ from the latest version in the source repository.

View the source and supporting files

This download contains SKILL.md only. Any scripts, references, templates and dependencies are not included. Get the required files from the source, preserving their directory structure, before continuing.

1. Download the file

Download SKILL.md

From the root of a test project, save the file as .skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/SKILL.md, or use the command below. This folder is for inspecting the skill before installation.

Command for macOS/Linux or WSL: requires a POSIX shell and curl. On Windows without WSL, use the download button and create the folder manually.

mkdir -p '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi' && curl --fail --show-error --location 'https://skills-guides.com/api/skills/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/download' --output '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/SKILL.md.part' && mv '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/SKILL.md.part' '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/SKILL.md'

2. Check prerequisites

Read SKILL.md before using it. If it references scripts or external services, inspect them and prepare the required access in your test environment.

No recognized prerequisites section in this file. This does not mean it is self-contained: libraries, tools and access requirements may be mentioned elsewhere in the content or source repository.

The platforms on this page are catalog indications. The paths below follow tool documentation; they do not prove this skill has been run in those tools. No minimum tool version is confirmed for this listing.

3. Load the skill

After inspection, copy the complete folder into your project using one of the commands below, then open a new tool session. The command stops if a folder with the same name already exists: compare the files before replacing it.

Claude Code

test -f '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/SKILL.md' && test -s '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/SKILL.md' && mkdir -p '.claude/skills' && test ! -e '.claude/skills/analyzing-macro-regime' && cp -R '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi' '.claude/skills/analyzing-macro-regime'

Cursor

test -f '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/SKILL.md' && test -s '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/SKILL.md' && mkdir -p '.cursor/skills' && test ! -e '.cursor/skills/analyzing-macro-regime' && cp -R '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi' '.cursor/skills/analyzing-macro-regime'

Codex

test -f '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/SKILL.md' && test -s '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/SKILL.md' && mkdir -p '.agents/skills' && test ! -e '.agents/skills/analyzing-macro-regime' && cp -R '.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi' '.agents/skills/analyzing-macro-regime'

OpenSkills

OpenSkills must already be installed. The local install/read procedure is checked with OpenSkills 1.5.0, which requires Node.js ≥ 20.6.0. Catalog slugs are not resolved automatically.

Official OpenSkills installation

openskills install './.skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi'

openskills read 'analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi'

Reading should display the installed file content and its base directory. It does not run the skill or install its dependencies.

For an agent that reads AGENTS.md, then sync the index. This command changes AGENTS.md: review the diff before using it.

openskills sync

Manual method or another tool: attach SKILL.md to a conversation, or open it in an agent that can read files. Include any required supporting resources. No universal folder is recognized by every tool.

4. Try a first task

Use a short, synthetic input: an API endpoint, a small document or an interface brief. In a new conversation, attach the file or give the agent its path, then adapt this request:

Read .skill-downloads/analyzing-macro-regime-mrwakcwi/SKILL.md and apply its instructions to this example: [describe a test input]. Identify any missing files, dependencies or access. Produce the result requested by the skill without inventing data or running unreviewed scripts.

Expected result: output matching the skill instructions, or a precise list of missing prerequisites. A read confirmation alone does not validate a first use. If an external resource is unavailable, that path remains untested.

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